Showing posts with label Maxis. Show all posts

Celcom likely to surpass Maxis within a year

PETALING JAYA: Celcom Axiata Bhd, which has been meeting its internal key performance indicators (KPI) over the last several quarters, expects the trend to continue.

 StarBiz spoke to Celcom chief executive officer (CEO) Datuk Seri Shazalli Ramly to ask him if Celcom was in a position to take over the lead position in a very competitive market where customers are also demanding quality services.

Celcom has also been delivering profits consistently for several quarters now and making inroads into new market segments, especially the youth segment, which Maxis Bhd is said to be weak in. “We have consistently been meeting our KPI set by our parent, Axiata Group Bhd. “Our second-quarter 2013 results showed that we have the subscriber numbers and profits.

We also have our internal targets to gain more market share but ours is not measured against Maxis’ numbers. Its our own internal projections,” said Shazalli. Celcom’s gain has apparently come at the expense of Maxis.



DatoÍ Sri Shazalli Ramly, Chief Executive Officer of Celcom Axiata Berhad: ñCustomers who demand unparalleled connectivity within Celcom Territory can look forward to a premium 4G network that steps up to their ever-changing mobile lifestyles and data usage with the introduction of innovative consumer offerings that we will be announcing soon.

Shazalli: ‘We also have our internal targets to gain more market share but ours is not measured against Maxis’ numbers.’

A report by CIMB Research yesterday indicated that Celcom and DiGi.Com Bhd were gaining ground on Maxis when it came to the market share of mobile service revenue. “DiGi gained 0.6% point to reach 27.6% of mobile service revenue, while Maxis lost 0.4% point. Celcom’s market share of 35.1% is now just 2.2% points shy of Maxis’, and at this rate, we think Celcom could surpass Maxis as the largest mobile operator within a year,” analyst Kelvin Goh wrote. That leaves Maxis’ market share of mobile service revenue at 37%.


Maxis is currently overhauling itself to be more customer-centric and has restructured itself into four core units.

It has appointed Morten Lundal as its new CEO, who takes over from Oct 1, to ensure the company does not lose more ground and its prized pole position.

And while Maxis is still putting its house in order, its rivals have been sharpening their tools to eat into its market share.

Maxis once controlled close to 50% of subscriber market share in 2007 after locking horns with the other telco behemoth. However, its pie has since shrunk.

The market has over 42 million mobile subscribers, with the penetration rate having reached over 143%.
Goh said that Maxis’ revenue had remained flat over the last few quarters, adding that Celcom was within spitting distance of Maxis’ mobile service revenue market share.

“If this trend continues, then Celcom would likely surpass Maxis within a year, in our view,” he said.
An analyst with a local brokerage who asked to remain anonymous concurred with Goh.

“There is such a possibility if the current trend continues but these are early days and it depends on how Maxis executes its plans after Lundal comes in,” he said.

He, however, noted that Maxis would defend its turf, adding that that would depend on how the new captain at the helm executes it.

The fight in the future is about a bigger share of the consumer’s wallet, with data and content playing a major role.

And if Celcom or DiGi is unable to dislodge Maxis in the lead position, it could well do in certain market segments. In fact, Celcom is already the leader in some of the market segments, as is DiGi.

Goh expected Celcom and DiGi to continue closing in on Maxis, considering its change of management and that the big three mobile carriers are trending towards equal market share, as their share of the pie converged further in the second quarter of 2013.

“While expectations are high for Lundal to turn things around, we think change would take time, given the deep-rooted issues,” he said.

An analyst with a bank-backed research firm, however, was less positive about Celcom shaking Maxis’ position, as he pointed out that the former had lost some subscribers in the second quarter of this year.

Another analyst reckoned that Celcom had a hurdle in that Maxis’ earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation margin has been consistently higher due to its higher average revenue per user.

-The Star Business
Published: Friday September 6, 2013 MYT 12:00:00 AM
Sunday, September 08, 2013
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Maxis for sale?

PETALING JAYA: Speculation that tycoon T Ananda Krishnan could be looking to sell his controlling stake in Kuala Lumpur-listed Maxis Bhd has surfaced, although not for the first time.
The rumours arose a few months ago, but seem to have gained momentum following what is said to be a “house-cleaning” exercise at the telco, where seven senior executives, including its chief executive, have parted ways with the company just recently. More top management staff could be leaving, sources have said.
Although close associates of Ananda have rebuffed the idea, saying that no such sale was taking place, other insiders are bandying about a figure of RM35bil as the price tag to purchase Ananda's effective stake of 29% in Maxis.
Ananda owns 45% (via Usaha Tegas Sdn Bhd) in the telco's holding company, Maxis Communications Bhd, which, in turn, owns 64.4% in the listed Maxis.
The other shareholders of Maxis Communications are Saudi Telecom Co(25%) and certain bumiputra shareholders (30%).
Maxis is the country's largest mobile player by revenue and subscriber base and is in the midst of repositioning itself as an integrated player.
The RM35bil price tag is more than double what the market values the stake at. Maxis' market capitalisation last Friday stood at RM50.6bil, giving Ananda's 29% stake a value of RM14.6bil.
One of the names being linked to a possible acquisition of Ananda's stake in Maxis is Puncak Semangat, a new kid on the telco block which had won a block of 4G long-term evolution or LTE spectrum. It would make sense for any newcomer to the capital expenditure-intensive telco industry to acquire existing operators who have invested well in their networks.
However, industry players said that it was unlikely that any one player in the market currently had that kind of firepower to acquire the controlling stake in Maxis.
“You think anyone has that kind of money? I would dismiss the talk,” said someone in the know.
On the other hand, there are insiders who reckon that the time would come for Ananda to start looking at hiving off his major assets, especially when they are trading at a high value.
“Ananda is 74 years old. Although in relatively good health, there isn't a family scion to take over the businesses. It only makes sense for him to start divesting assets and putting the cash into trusts for his family,” said one corporate executive who used to work for one of Ananda's companies.
Incidentally, Ananda is said to be taking a personal interest in the reorganisation underway at the top management of Maxis. There is also a plan to streamline operations and “flatten” its organisational structure.
Aside from the seven top management personnel leaving the company, more are believed to be on their way out, considering that the reorganisation plans include reducing the 24 divisions at Maxis into less than half that number.
“The idea is also to enhance accountability within the group,” said a source.
Maxis was expected to announce a new reorganisation structure early next week, the source added. - The Star Biz

Saturday June 8, 2013

Saturday, June 08, 2013
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2012 Malaysia Top 10 Companies

2012 Malaysia Top 10 Companies (by Market Capital) in Bursa Malaysia



2012 Top 20 Companies (by Market Capital) in Bursa Malaysia













2012 Bursa Malaysia Top 20 by Market Capitalization

2012 Bursa Malaysia Top 20 by Market Capitalization

MCMC’s eight get LTE allocation for broadband speeds in excess of 100Mbps

PETALING JAYA: Eight companies have been allowed access to the much-anticipated 2,600 MHz spectrum band which allows mobile phone users to enjoy long-term evolution (LTE) or 4G services with broadband speeds in excess of 100Mbps.

The eight are Celcom Axiata Bhd, DiGi Telecommunications Sdn Bhd, Maxis Broadband Sdn Bhd, Packet One Networks (M) Sdn Bhd, Puncak Semangat Sdn Bhd, REDtone Marketing Sdn Bhd, U Mobile Sdn Bhd and YTL Communications Sdn Bhd.


Malaysian Communications and Multimedia Commission (MCMC), which announced the allocation to the eight companies yesterday, said in a statement that existing service providers might use the 2,600 MHz spectrum band to further expand and enhance the capacity of their mobile broadband networks to meet increasing consumer demands.

The technology promises many new services to consumers such as high definition video streaming, enhanced user experience on real-time applications and better connectivity for mobile and consumer electronic devices.
The spectrum allocation will allow users of LTE, which is the next leap in mobile broadband technology after 3G, to boost Internet surfing speeds on the next generation smartphones such as the iPhone 5 and the Samsung Galaxy S3 LTE.

Telcos namely Celcom, DiGi and Maxis are also touting LTE to be the next driver of data demand as users upgrade their mobile phones and sign fresh contracts with them when they purchase new smartphones for faster internet speeds.

MCMC said since the introduction of 3G and WiMAX technology in Malaysia, the demand for better quality mobile broadband service had intensified. “This allocation is in line with similar initiatives in developed countries like the United States and some European states. “Market readiness for 4G technology is also reaching its maturity as increasingly, many of the latest devices in the global market support the use of this technology, hence the economies of scale will bring much benefit to the country,” it said.

MCMC said service providers were expected to enter into smart partnerships and sharing agreements between them which included spectrum and radio access network sharing in order to utilise larger bandwidths, lower the cost of rollout and offer better LTE-experience and affordability to consumers.
“Smart partnerships mean shared infrastructure, thus reducing the duplication of physical transmission towers,” MCMC said.

LTE wholesale Mobile Virtual Network Service would also be offered to other service providers that did not get access to the allocation, MCMC added. MCMC chairman Datuk Mohamed Sharil Tarmizi said the introduction of a new player was expected to bring fresh ideas and innovation to the market.
“MCMC is always committed to finding the right balance between the needs of consumers, investors and other stakeholders of the industry. “We believe that the balance struck between ensuring healthy competition in the market and promoting industry development will help spur continued growth for existing service providers and provide opportunity for new market entrants,” he said.
Thursday, December 06, 2012
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LTE Spectrum Finalized ?

The Star reported that the Malaysian Communications and Multimedia Commission (MCMC) is finalizing its allocation of the 2.6GHz spectrum. Its Chairman, Datuk Mohamed Sharil Tarmizi said on the sidelines of the CommunicAsia 2012 Summit in Singapore that the allocation is being finalized. He added that the government is looking at infrastructure and not service provider consolidation. The mobile operators will get to keep their brands, but they need to share the spectrum across possibly 2 to 3 networks. Not all 9 operators will get the spectrum.
Thursday, June 21, 2012
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两月完成 共享网络计划 9公司分组4G联盟


(吉隆坡11日讯)我国目前共9家公司拥有4G执照,鉴于我国市场或只需2至3个4G网络服务,因此大马通讯与多媒体委员会将推出“4G联盟计划”,让业者各自合组成4G网络服务集团。
负责国内电信监管机构的大马通讯与多媒体委员会,预计将在两个月内,批准约2至4个“4G联盟计划”。
该委员会主席拿督莫哈末沙里尔说,国内将出现2至4个4G联盟组合,至于最后出现几个4G联盟组合目前还无法确定。
“或许每个联盟由两家公司组合会更好……这些业者正在找寻本身的伙伴,因此我们希望在未来两个月内完成有关计划。”
技术支援新模式
他强调,届时可能只有2或3个4G网络服务,而不会再有8个或9个4G网络服务。
“这是非常新的合作模式,国内的法令及现有的技术也支援这种模式。届时一个4G网络,可能是由两三家公司共同分享。”
Saturday, May 12, 2012
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虽上演削价战 电讯业不会大洗牌

(吉隆坡4日讯)虽然市场竞争持续激烈,以及流动服务供应商之间可能再引发削价战之际,然而,分析员预见电讯领域不会有任何大转变,并且维持本地电讯公司的盈利预测。
据BIMB证券研究分析员,随着明讯(Maxis,6012,主板贸服股)推出价格可负担的预付配套,本地电讯领域的竞争已更加激烈。
明讯调整配套价格
他说:“数码网络(Digi,6947,主板基建股)很留意明讯的最新计划,而且正准备调整旗下配套的价格来应对。因此,我们相信这可能造成流动服务供应商之间出现削价战。”
分析员指出,数码网络目前也正将其网络现代化,一旦设备转换完成,其3G覆盖率将在年底提高至70%(2011年底为52%);
“完成将网络现代化后,其网络将启用长期演进技术(LTE,俗称4G)。该公司也相信政府今年中会授权2.6GHZ LTE频谱(spectrum)。”
至于马电讯(TM,4863,主板贸服股),该公司放眼透过高速宽频(HSBB)服务——UniFi,将客户群从现有的30万人提高至40万人。
亚通则预计印尼业务会稳健增长,因印尼子公司——XL亚通,预计2012年的用户人数会增加10%至5100万人,资本开支估计大约8兆印尼盾(26亿令吉)。
但整体上,分析员维持对各电讯公司的盈利预测,也不预见这领域会出现任何大转变。
派息率难大增
分析员表示,在最新季度业绩内,大部分电讯公司调高派息率;其中,亚通(Axiata,6888,主板贸服股)将其派息率从50%调高至60%,数码网络(Digi,6947,主板基建股)的2011财年股息则调高至17.5仙(2010财年为16.3仙)。
马电讯(TM,4863,主板贸服股)则在2011财年派发每股30仙;明讯则维持其派息率。
但由于预计各企业盈利2012财年只会有个位数增长,分析员相信现财年的派息率也不会大幅增加。
“在近期的涨势内,大部分电讯的股价已经扬升,因而不会有很多的潜能增长空间。目前,我们将电讯公司的评级下调至‘中和’。”
尽管如此,他相信明讯诱人的派息率(回酬为6.6%),会继续吸引长期投资者,尤其是股价调整时期。


2012年04月05日 - 虽上演削价战 电讯业不会大洗牌 - 财经新闻 - 财经 - 南洋网
Thursday, April 05, 2012
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若加私有化资产 阿南达身家超林国泰 (大马超级富豪NO.3)


鉴于本报富豪榜是依据上市资产计算,而阿南达目前持有公司中,仅有明讯(Maxis,6012,主板贸服股)和布米阿马达(Armada,5210,主板贸服股)上市,因此身家结算排行第三。
但若是将已私有化的东亚卫星(Measat)、丹绒(Tanjong)和Astro加入计算,阿南达的身家将提高至273亿8600万令吉,较亚军——以林国泰为首的林氏家族来得高。
除了首富郭鹤年,他是第二位晋身《福布斯》全球富豪榜的大马人。

Sunday, April 01, 2012
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电讯业合并?

2012年03月26日 封面故事 - 财经周刊 - 南洋网

大马的通讯领域早已形成三强鼎立的格局,而各强之间又有本身的优势,因此,估计不会出现合并的风潮。 然而,我国通讯领域的确出现了合并的迹象与契机,而这个契机又完全是由9张4G执照而引发……

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小型电企联盟抗巨无霸
国内通讯公司的并购风,应当也不是头一遭,近期又再传出并购的消息,我国目前三强鼎立的通讯市场架构,是否会有变化?
行业内的无数小型业者的命运,又何去何从?

国内的电讯业在2月底传出并购消息,引起业者以致消费者的高度关注,主要是因今时今日,手机、通讯服务以及上网,几乎成了我国人民的日常必需品。若是通讯公司真的吹起合并风潮,不仅对于我国通讯业的架构有重大的影响,该行业的竞争生态,也会随之影响到消费人。

Monday, March 26, 2012
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業績出色 通訊業增長潛能佳


(吉隆坡5日訊)儘管大馬通訊領域已發展至相對成熟的市場,但市場分析員相信,國內的電訊業者仍有增長潛力,並持續看好該領域的投資前景。

MIDF研究分析員表示,國內絕大部分的通訊業者都在2011財政年交出超越市場預測的業績表現。
其中,儘管馬電訊(TM,4863,主板貿服股)2011財政年的淨利稍微下滑0.6%,但其高達12億令吉的淨利,仍超出市場預期。同時,若扣除一次性的收入,其核心淨利更增長13.1%,至6.8億令吉。
至於流動通訊業者方面,國內三大通訊業者--明訊(MAXIS,6012,主板貿服股)、數碼網絡(DIGI,6947,主板基建股)與亞通 (AXIATA,6888,主板貿服股)旗下的天地通(Celcom),依然維持穩健的增長,並主要由非語音業務所帶動,取得19.4%的增長。
Wednesday, March 07, 2012
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Investors eagerly awaiting big dividends


PETALING JAYA: With the barrage of results coming in, investors chasing for more returns and yields are still on the lookout for that big one, as hints of more bumper dividends allure in the face of a volatile market rocked by external headwinds.
The latest will be the move by Maxis Bhd, which had recently secured approval from the authorities for the proposed 10-year sukuk issuance amounting to RM2.45bil.
Sources contacted by StarBiz recently confirmed that Maxis' board of directors would discuss the possibility of declaring a special dividend payout at its routine directors meeting soon.
The telecommunications sector as a whole is also seeing some activity with Telekom Malaysia Bhd announcing a total cash distribution of RM1.42bil or 39.8 sen per share, while Axiata Group Bhd also raised its payout ratio from 30% to 60%, having proposed a bumper dividend of 19 sen per share.
OSK Research in a report said the bumper payout indicated Axiata's willingness to meet investors' expectations of rising dividends as it was rapidly building up cash, thanks to the strong operational momentum across few operating companies.
Analysts believe that there is some level of interest and speculation that other high cash-flow counters dealing in the buoyant consumer market may also have plans to reward their shareholders.
With a strong and stable free cashflow, along with minimal gearing, these financially-sound companies could declare a special dividend.
Last Friday, Dutch Lady Milk Industries Bhd announced a dividend of 50 sen in addition of a special dividend of 80 sen for its financial year ending March 31, 2012.
UOB Kay Hian's head of research Vincent Khoo said the key point about these companies was that they generated a very steady income, while the amount of capital expenditure to expand their businesses was quite modest, leaving a substantial cash pile for utilisation.
“While in the thriving brewery sector, given that Guinness Anchor Bhd (GAB) announced a surprise dividend last year, we reckon Carlsberg (Brewery Malaysia Bhd) may also follow suit by declaring a special dividend,” Khoo said on Friday before the results were released.
Subsequently, after announcing its results, Carlsberg declared a total special dividend payout of 67.5 sen, representing a 7.1% return over its last closing price.
A local bank-backed analyst also reckoned that GAB might declare another special dividend as it had only drawn down RM150mil from its RM500mil medium-term notes.
Khoo is also quite positive on Berjaya Sports Toto Bhd (BToto) as the company has just reached a debt neutral level, with the company still committed to its minimum 75% net payout dividend policy.
The numbers forecast operator is expected to release its financial numbers on March 15.
OSK Research said BToto's relatively stable and defensive earnings, as well as strong likelihood for dividends to surprise on the upside, made the stock an ideal investment under the current volatile environment, in which the broader market's earnings pace might disappoint on the downside.
Meanwhile, OSK head of research Chris Eng advised investors not to jump into a company because of its dividends, and instead should focus on the growth potential of the company.
“Dividends are just an added benefit, we are neutral on stocks like Maxis and DiGi, as these companies have limited upside, with no strong growth story,” he said, adding that with the run-up in prices of some selected large capitalised counters, many other smaller counters were still attractive with a good return for dividends.
Meanwhile, another analyst noted that investors could expect a substantial bumper dividend if Panasonic Manufacturing Malaysia Bhd decided to undergo some capital management exercise.
“Panasonic is standing at a very strong cash position as well, representing about 40% of its market capitalisation,” he said.
As at Dec 31, 2011, Panasonic had cash and cash equivalents of RM449.19mil, which works out to RM7.49 per share with no current borrowings.
For 2011, Panasonic paid net dividends of RM66.06mil, or RM1.09 per share, equivalent to 80% of its net profit in that year.
Similarly as at end-September 2011, JT International Bhd (JTI) had RM189.94mil in cash translating to 72 sen per share with no borrowings.
For 2010, JTI paid net dividends amounting to 22.5 sen per share.
Another analyst also noted that with the stronger earnings seen in the financial sector, banks like Alliance Financial Group Bhd and CIMB Bank Bhd might see a dividend upside as well.
Monday, February 27, 2012
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分享與整合頻譜‧綠馳證實洽商

(雪蘭莪‧八打靈再也23日訊)綠馳通訊科技(GPACKET,0082,主板科技組)今日證實正與多方洽商頻譜分享與整合問題,時機成熟時才會公佈洽商進展。
董事經理兼首席執行員潘振祥在業績匯報會時受詢時表示,該公司正與各方洽談上述問題,尋求如何在頻譜分享等進行合作。提到是否與楊忠禮機構(YTL,4677,主板貿服組)等洽商,他說,公司將與各方進行洽商,並嘗試從整合中獲取雙贏局面。
早前報導指楊忠禮機構與該公司以及Asiaspace公司洽商。楊忠禮機構旗下楊忠禮電子(YTLE,0009,創業板科技組)也表示洽商時時在進行潘振祥指出,若能達致頻譜分享,各業每年資本開銷將大大節省,將是各方期許的雙贏局面,因而對類似洽商樂觀其成。
“正如賴敬達所形容的,面對目前形式,各電訊業既是合作的盟友,也是相互競爭的競爭者。” 潘振祥也說,P1公司今年斥資約3億令吉資本開銷,使4G全國服務覆蓋率由現有超過50%增至65%,東馬覆蓋率則會從沙巴亞庇做起,逐步深入。
他說,公司去年12月營運盈利首創正面成長,預期2012年有利可圖,P1也放眼攫取50萬名用戶。其服務美國等全國40國軟件方案亦有強勁成長。
全年虧8845萬
截至2011年12月31日止,第四季虧損收窄近倍至2千988萬6千令吉,前期為8千618萬2千令吉;全年虧損縮小至8千845萬3千令吉,前期為1億4千339萬7千令吉。(星洲日報/財經)
 2012-02-24 11:34




Saturday, February 25, 2012
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Maxis 2011 Q4 net profit jumps to RM900m


KUALA LUMPUR: Maxis Bhd’s fourth quarter net profit jumped 47.5 per cent to RM900 million from RM610 million in the corresponding period in 2010, largely due to a last mile broadband tax incentive for the previous years and current year.
Profit for the final quarter ended December 31 2011 was also helped by lower net finance costs arising from reversal of provision for site rectification and decommissioning works.

Revenue fell marginally to RM2.26 billion from RM2.31 billion in the previous corresponding period.

Maxis expects the operating environment for 2012 to remain competitive and challenging. The fourth quarter results pushed Maxis’ full-year net profit to over RM2.52 billion or 10.10 per cent more than the year before.

“A continuing focus on operational efficiency saw Maxis delivering its customary industry-leading earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation (Ebitda) margin at 50.3 per cent, putting it among the best performing telcos globally,” the company said in a press release.

Ebitda grew by 0.2 per cent to RM4.42 billion from RM4.41 billion in 2010. Revenu e for the full year was RM8.80 billion versus RM8.86 billion previously despite having scaled down the low margin hubbing business which is a part of its International Gateway (IGW) services.

Overall, Maxis results were within analysts’ estimates, according to Bloomberg data. Maxis also declared a fourth interim singletier tax exempt dividend of 8 sen per share and is proposing a final single-tier tax exempt dividend of 8 sen per for 2011.

This brings the total dividend to RM3 billion or 40 sen per ordinary share for last year. As at end-2011, Maxis has the industry’s largest subscription base at 14 million.

Revenue was mainly driven by mobile Internet usage, content subscription and stronger wireless broadband revenue from a higher subscription base.

For its outlook for 2012, chief executive officer Sandip Das said Maxis will focus quite substantially on growing its revenue that it hopes would result in a stronger Ebitda.

"More importantly, we want to see new revenue streams coming in this year. We are very excited about turning in a stronger financial performance this year," he said at a media briefing on the company's results.

Revenue growth, he said, is expected to come from the rising demand for data from wireless broadband, Internet access and other non-voice services on the back of lower voice segment growth.

Last year, the non-voice segment grew an impressive 17 per cent and made up 43.5 per cent of Maxis' total mobile services revenue.

Sandip said the company is strengthening grip on future revenues, justifying its continued investment in the past two to three years in data infrastructure and partnerships.

He said Maxis is expecting the government to grant the 4G LTE (fourth generation long-term evolution) technology very soon, adding that the company could spend close to RM1 billion over the next two to three years on the 4G LTE alone if it takes off.  


Mobile service operators start talks on merger and acquisitions

Wednesday February 22, 2012 By YVONNE TAN

PETALING JAYA: Consolidation talks have begun in the telecommunication space where as many as nine parties have licences to offer mobile services. “There are clearly too many operators for a market like Malaysia and it would naturally result in some form of consolidation,” said a telco analyst.
Industry sources said that one of the more active players pursuing a merger and acquisition exercise was the YTL Group which has approached Asiaspace Sdn Bhd and Green Packet Bhd . Asiaspace chairman Datuk Abdul Ghani Abdullah said that consolidation was the most “logical” thing to do.
Same wavelength: From left: Puan, YTL Communications executive chairman Tan Sri Francis Yeoh, Tan and Abdul Ghani. 
 A telco analyst points out that there are too many operators in a market like Malaysia and it would naturally result in some form of consolidation.“Capital expenditure is so high in this industry that it is impossible for smaller companies to survive,” he told StarBiz when contacted yesterday.YTL had not answered StarBiz queries at press time while Green Packet officials declined to comment.
Last year, the Malaysian Communications and Multimedia Commission named nine companies as recipients of the 2.6 GHz spectrum, to be used for the roll-out of long-term evolution (LTE) or 4G services. These are the four 3G players namely DiGi.Com Bhd , Celcom Axiata Bhd , Maxis Bhd and U Mobile Sdn Bhd ; and four WiMAX players Asiaspace, Packet One Networks Sdn Bhd or P1 (a subsidiary of Green Packet), REDtone International Bhd and YTL Communications Bhd .
The ninth player named was Puncak Semangat, a company controlled by billionaire Tan Sri Syed Mokhtar Al-Bukhary
.
Abdul Ghani said consolidation would enable players to combine their spectrum to offer more efficient services to customers, and hence, help solve the issue of spectrum being spread too thin among too many players.“However, the (consolidation) talks are still at an early stage,” said one industry source.

Aside from the three incumbents in the telco voice market, namely DiGi, Celcom and Maxis, the other players that have made the most inroads in the 4G industry are YTL Communications, P1 and U Mobile which is controlled by tycoon Tan Sri Vincent Tan .

YTL Communications launched its YES 4G wireless network in November 2010 and as at November last year, the company was said to have a subscriber base of more than 300,000. It was reported that the company would break even when it had one million subscribers.

Green Packet has also been keeping busy with its investments in the area of broadband. For the third quarter ended September 2011, Green Packet reported net loss of RM24.3mil compared with net loss of RM13.7mil a year earlier, largely due to such investments. “But it will be an historic year for P1 this year, as in less than four years it will turn EBITDA (earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation) positive. You must realise that we are in an industry where the gestation periods are long,” said group managing director C.C. Puan recently.

As for U Mobile's financial position, this cannot be immediately ascertained as it is privately owned.
Meanwhile, amid reports that U Mobile was seeking to be listed, a source said that Green Packet had been approached by investment banks to consider an initial public offering of P1. “If Green Packet turns EBITDA positive this year, PI should be in a good position for a listing,” said the source.
Wednesday, February 22, 2012
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Maxis may pay special dividend following sukuk issuance

Saturday February 18, 2012 By TEE LIN SAY 

PETALING JAYA: A special dividend could be on the cards if the working capital portion of Maxis Bhd ’s RM2.45bil sukuk issuance is allocated to shareholders, said analysts. Maxis is proposing to issue Islamic medium-term notes with a nominal value of up to RM2.45bil based on the sukuk musharakah principle.

The proposed unrated sukuk will have a tenure of up to 30 years from the date of the first issue. Some RM1.45bil will be used for the refinancing of existing loans while another RM1bil will be for capital expenditure, working capital and other general purposes.

“The sukuk could allude to a potential special dividend if the RM1bil (or 13 sen a share) in proceeds earmarked for working capital is flowed back to shareholders,” said an analyst with OSK Research.
He said that his current dividends forecast modelled in a recurring payout of 8 sen per quarter, which implied a payout ratio of 130% and a dividend yield of 7% at current price levels.

Maxis declared a third interim single-tier tax-exempt dividend of 8 sen per share totalling RM600mil when it announced its third-quarter results to Sept 30, 2011, last December. Maxis gave out dividends of 40 sen in the financial year (FY) to Dec 31, 2010.

The RM2.45bil sukuk issuance would raise Maxis’ net debt/earnings before interest taxation depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA) from 1.1 times to 1.7 times, the analyst said. This is consistent with management’s guidance for a longer-term target net debt/EBITDA of 1.75 times.
CIMB Investment Bank Bhd has been appointed the sole principal adviser and sole lead arranger.
The investment bank said the issuance would neither have any effect on the issued and paid-up capital of Maxis nor on shareholders’ holdings, while the consolidated net gearing would increase to 0.75 times from 0.63 times, based on 2010 proforma audited accounts.

Sunday, February 19, 2012
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Transforming cellular companies

Saturday January 28, 2012 By B.K. SIDHU

With the data boom, cellular firms have to transform to stay relevant

THERE is already a washing machine that can be programmed by its user using the Internet. And maybe, one day your favourite potted plant may tweet you that it needs to be watered. A report says that beverage companies are already tracking the weather to know the change so that they can serve their customers better and retailers are finding new ways to reach out to new markets. The extent of which the Internet has infiltrated our daily lives might seem a bit of a joke for some, but the cellular companies are not seeing the funny side of that.

In fact, the data boom is already threatening their once bread-and-butter voice revenues which have stagnated as people use the Internet for much of their communication, bypassing the use of traditional avenues the cellular companies were built on. Companies are the first to jump on the bandwagon in terms of data, using software and technologies that drive efficiency and profits. Now, the man-in-the-street is doing the same to make their lives a lot easier in an ever-increasing demanding world.

“Emerging academic research suggests that companies that use data and business analysis to guide decision making are more productive and experience higher returns on equity than competitors that don’t,” says McKinsey in a report.

Multiple views: Maxis Hotlink staff showing off various devices that users can use to access the company’s lifestyle portal, Dunia Internetmu. The youths of today want information, entertainment and education at the touch of a button and because of that telecom companies, be it fixed, cellular or wireless, are transforming themselves in the hope that they can retain their customers for a longer period.This is also the era of behavioural change and big data boom where scalable networks to seamless connectivity is a given. The future, according to experts, is about “volume, variety and velocity and that is the hallmark of the big data era.’’

Thanks to the booming use of smartphones, tablets and other portable devices, the amount of data flowing over cellular and wireless phone networks is growing faster than the providers can keep up with. That is why our cellular companies are in transformation mode. Each is trying to make sure they are in the forefront of the data growth wave because the growth in the future is in data as voice revenues level off. Their biggest fear for doing that is the loss of their customers to somesone who can give them what they want. The Internet, which has revolutionised industries all around the world, is causing ripples in another seemingly more modern industry.

Need for change
Over the past two years, Malaysian celcos have been reshaping and re-inventing themselves. Their objective is to keep users on their networks. Celcom Axiata Bhd has been in transformation over the past two years. In its journey, it sees that by 2015, 50% of its revenues will come from data and the remaining 50% from voice. Data contribute just under 40% of revenue today. The have set up consumer labs and paid top dollar to experts to know what their users want. It has also flattened its decision-making processes into three three units where its CEO Datuk Seri Shazalli Ramly heads one and the most important of all – the one that zeroes in on the customer.

“Where the industry is going depends on different facets. Companies like us have to make a choice as where to specialise in, where to dominate and what to be good at. We may want to drop things that we do not want and approaching the market as a single mass may no longer be applicable. We will see companies taking unique positions and giving unique offerings,” he says. The battle lines have been drawn and for Shazalli, Celcom has to be seen as a company where a customer has access to from every possible angle and circumstances.

DiGi.Com Bhd too is on a transformation journey ever since its new CEO Henrik Clausen came on board in May 2010. Its tagline of “Internet for all” is the direction the company is focused on. Maxis Bhd , the largest cellular company in the country by subcribers, is on a similar journey. Its CEO Sandip Das says: “It is not an option but a need and there may be many life cycles.” Even Das has reorganised the group so that there is strong operating leadership combination with two COOs.

U Mobile Sdn Bhd under Dr Kaizad Heerjee has been making some noise and is gaining traction in the broadband world. It is not easy when there are three big players but operators like U Mobile, Packet One Networks Sdn Bhd (P1) , RedTone International Bhd and YTL Communications Bhd have a place in the market space and they are providing Internet connections to their customers and continue to skirmish against the big three. All operating cellular and wireless players are in expansion mode and in the same direction.

Saturday, February 18, 2012
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Puncak Semangat, REDtone big 4G spectrum winners

Written by Cindy Yeap    Wednesday, 07 December 2011               

REDtone International Bhd and billionaire Tan Sri Syed Mokhtar Al-Bukhary’s Puncak Semangat Sdn Bhd have a tad more to cheer about among the nine fourth generation (4G) spectrum winners. All nine will receive the coveted resource after their business plans are approved by the Malaysian Communication and Multimedia Commission (MCMC), sources said.

“While Puncak Semangat’s 30Mhz [of 4G spectrum] is at least 10Mhz bigger than all other winners, everyone else has existing spectrum — 900Mhz, 1800Mhz, 1900Mhz [3G] or 2.3Ghz [WiMAX]. From that perspective, the bigger existing players still have more spectrum,” said a source close to the regulators.

“The decision was made to bring in new entrants and allow room for market forces, and in that light the spectrum allocations are equitable, though not entirely equal,” the source told The Edge Financial Daily. “We believe Puncak has the financial resources for a decent rollout,” the source said.

The 4G allocation will give REDtone, whose existing 2.3Ghz WiMAX licence is limited to Sabah and Sarawak, a licence to roll out mobile services in Peninsular Malaysia and a more level playing field relative to the remaining three WiMAX spectrum holders, the source said. Its challenge, however, will be to secure the necessary funds for a wider rollout, an observer said.

To recap, all four 3G spectrum assignment holders — Maxis Bhd, Celcom Axiata Bhd, DiGi.Com Bhd and U Mobile Sdn Bhd — stand to receive 20Mhz of 4G spectrum. Like REDtone, two other WiMAX spectrum holders — Green Packet Bhd’s Packet One (Networks) Sdn Bhd and YTL Communications Sdn Bhd — will also receive 20Mhz of 4G spectrum in January 2013, if their business plans are accepted by the MCMC.

The remaining WiMAX spectrum holder, Asiaspace Sdn Bhd, will be given a 10Mhz block of 4G spectrum, provided its business plan gets MCMC’s go-ahead. Asiaspace, will also need to settle a sizeable fine first for not meeting rollout commitments made in its WiMAX business plan submission, another source added.

All nine winners will need to submit their 4G rollout plans to the MCMC by Dec 15 and pay a RM5 million irrevocable guarantee for every 10Mhz of spectrum.

But why not just give bigger blocks of spectrum to the big boys? After all, only three out of seven newcomers in the mobile telecoms space have decent-sized coverage and service offerings close to five years since the powers that be decided to sidestep incumbents and allow new entrants. Didn’t one 3G pectrum winner even make money from transferring its 3G spectrum?

Moreover, easily 94% of Malaysia’s 35.7 million mobile phone users are with the big three — Maxis, Celcom and DiGi — and they have the most money to invest, going by their earnings pool. Wouldn’t giving them more spectrum help on network quality?

“Yes, incumbents have a lot more subscribers, but they still have a lot more spectrum than the new entrants. Their spectrum allocation is already bigger than the likes of Vodafone in the UK, which has a bigger population size and wider geographical area to cover,” an industry observer pointed out. This could not be independently verified at press time.

“Are you satisfied with your current mobile phone service?” the observer asked, drawing attention to the sizeable earnings margins of 45% to over  50% that the big boy operators here command.

“Those margins are very high by industry standards. I’d call 30% a decent margin. From where I stand, that level of margins either means operators are not investing enough money in network or they’re charging customers too much,” the observer added.

Maxis, the leader in terms of earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation (Ebitda) margin, has maintained that its 50% plus margins are ahead of Celcom’s 45% and DiGi’s 46% because it has a bigger pool of higher spending subscribers.

To be fair, Maxis, Celcom and DiGi have spent an average of RM1 billion a year on improving their networks. And if that level of investment is not enough, only time will tell if the solution is to bring in new players, especially those with smaller purses.

What is certain is that more competition is on the way for existing players and the cost of delivering seamless Internet on-the-go is much higher than enabling voice and plain text message.

To maintain the kind of margins and dividends that their investors have come to expect, telecoms players are already cutting back everything they can and are now letting rivals piggy-back on their networks.

They have even resorted to no longer absorbing the 6% service tax on prepaid users to help shore up margins — or at least they tried. It is understood hat regulators have asked the operators to pass on the cost of the service tax to prepaid users on a staggered basis, instead of doing it at one go.

All that throws into question whether the high margins the big boy operators are enjoying will hold. To be sure, chances are that margins will not immediately collapse, but investors may need to start considering the possibility of smaller growth numbers and, in turn, lower dividend payouts — at least until the mobile broadband space matures.


This article appeared in The Edge Financial Daily, December 7, 2011.




Related  Posts:
1.數碼網絡 (Digi) 正與立通國際(REDTONE)探討合作
2. All nine telecoms players given smaller blocks of 4G spectrum (2.6GHz)
3. Transforming cellular companies 

設施容量不足‧電訊公司掀結盟風 (Digi and REDtone International is exploring possibilities for cooperation


(吉隆坡3日訊)基於個別電訊公司所獲分配頻譜容量不足,大小電訊公司未來將在推出4G/LTE設施時採取大小結盟方式,各大小電訊公司結盟形勢基本已形成,以克服設施容量不足或花費龐大問題。
數碼網絡和立通國際探討合作
《星洲財經》探悉,數碼網絡(DIGI,6947,主板基建計劃組)正與相對小的營運商立通國際(REDTONE,0032,創業板貿服組)探討合作,數碼網絡甚至表示不惜高價購買使用權,或者一兩個月內會有定案。
大馬通訊與多媒體委員會(MCMC)最近頒發180兆赫予9家營運商,其中與丹斯里賽莫達相關的公司PUNCAK SEMANGAT獲最大頻譜30兆赫,亞通的天地通、數碼網絡(DIGI,6947,主板基建計劃組)、明訊(MAXIS,6012,主板貿服組)、成功集團(BJCORP,3395,主板貿服組)旗下的U Mobile、綠馳通訊科技(GPACKET,0082,主板科技組)旗下P1公司、立通國際與楊忠禮機構(YTL,4677,主板貿服組)各獲2O兆赫,ASIA SPACE則獲10兆赫。
業內消息說,目前是各網絡公司形成結盟現象,立通國際會與數碼網絡、亞通(AXIATA,6888,主板貿服組)旗下天地通結盟儼然成形;與明訊比較接近的成功集團(BJCORP,3395,主板貿服組)旗下U Mobile會否投入此陣型正拭目以待。
“這是全方位合作,包括頻譜的分享或背對背服務,細節近期敲定。” 過去在3G時代時,數碼網絡為了獲取時光網(TIMECOM,5031,主板基建計劃組)設施,最終不惜以每年5千萬令吉代價租賃上述設施達10年。
消息說,數碼網絡願意與立通國際結盟,主要是前者用戶很多,而立通國際本身沒有用戶,正好全面利用其20兆赫的4G/LTE設施,因此數碼網絡願付高價獲得此使用權。
相對來說,作為一個獲得分配20赫特容量的小型營運商,基於在建構這些基本設施方面花費龐大,因此會採取與大網絡公司結盟方式攜手前進。“採取這樣的結盟方式,所花費的資本開銷還不到單獨運行的5%。”
對於小型營運公司來說,透過提供上述設施的使用空間,立通國際每年可收取固定費用,即使有關寬帶不受使用。(星洲日報/財經)


Digi and REDtone International  is exploring possibilities for cooperationRumor saying that Digi is working with a relatively small operator REDtone International to discuss cooperation, and Digi even not hesitate to buy expensive the right to use. Market rumors also saying that the deal might be finalized within a month or two.



Sunday, February 05, 2012
Posted by Admin

3G手機平板電腦滲透率低‧電訊業成長潛力大


(吉隆坡30日訊)3G與智能手機滲透率低,為大馬電訊業帶來蓬勃潛力,加上數據營業額上揚與網絡分享協議料支撐業者現金流與股息,電訊業料在利好聲浪中繼續大顯身手。黃氏唯高達研究指出,數據營業額上揚可望支撐電訊領域的現金流,智能手機或平板電腦的使用也料帶動數據業務的強勁需求,並抵銷語音每用戶平均營業額走疲利空,最終助電訊業者一臂之力,提高營運現金流並推動派息。
網絡分享協議減輕資本開銷

此外,電訊公司的網絡分享協議不僅削減資本開銷,也可望釋放更多現金流來推高股息,如亞通(AXIATA,6888,主板貿服組)旗下天地通與數碼網絡(DIGI,6947,主板基建計劃組)分享網絡與基本建設、明訊與U-Mobile的3G無線接入網絡(RAN)共享協議。“這些網絡分享協議,有望引領電訊公司的派息短期內走揚,最終帶動回酬率上揚。”

未納入稅務津貼
值得一提的是,適用於所有電訊公司的稅務津貼,黃氏唯高達也未納入明訊、亞通與馬電訊的盈利預測中,讓這些公司短期內潛存盈利上揚潛力。
數碼網絡去年末季獲得的稅務津貼,預計2012財政年的有效稅率達22至23%,黃氏唯高達相信,這是財政部批准寬頻基健達5年後,資本開銷高達100%的投資稅務津貼。根據該行,流動數據、可負擔數據配套與3G手機需求料節節上升,預計帶動3G與智能手機的滲透率,隨大馬3G與智能手機目前的滲透率低,僅35與19%,成長空間龐大。

“隨明訊(MAXIS,6012,主板貿服組)持續透過提高手機津貼來推動智能手機滲透率,日後的數據營業額有望更上一層樓。” 另外,數據營業貢獻大馬流動電訊總營業28至41%,該行相信,數據續成為大馬電訊業主力,基於網絡分享策略帶動整體網絡覆蓋率與資本節約,該行預見大馬電訊業趕上日本與韓國的數據步伐。
“明訊將是數據使用率上揚的受惠者,主要是明訊的3G覆蓋率達81%,在業者中最高;非簡訊數據營業額也佔數據營業額最高。”

另一方面,寬頻使用率低至54%也料帶動寬頻成長,馬電訊(TM,4863,主板貿服組)與明訊預計率先趕搭固定寬頻風潮,其他3家電訊公司也有望自穩健的流動寬頻市場中受惠。“天地通因提供更具彈性的配套,料在流動寬頻中保持領航地位。”



數碼網絡和馬電訊漲勢驚人
明訊“黑馬”
電訊領域近期表現“超越大市”,但營運賺幅與週息率最高的明訊股價卻較同儕黯然失色,黃氏唯高達認為,市場遲早將發現明訊表現一致與在數據方面的潛力,令明訊成為領域的“黑馬”。

數碼網絡與馬電訊股價漲勢最驚人,去年7月1日至今年1月27日,各飆升25%與38%,2012財政年週息率各自6%與5%,跌至4%。
該行認為,投資者熱捧數碼網絡與馬電訊可能基於兩家公司的盈利表現良好,同時為派息策略部署,即數碼網絡進行5億零900萬令吉的資本管理後,上半年或捎來6.5仙股息;馬電訊在脫售亞通股權後可能派發7.9仙的特別股息。
然而,該行指出,明訊的營運賺幅在領域中最高,達50%,數碼網絡以48%居次,顯然,明訊股價雖落後其他公司,業務表現卻領先。“市場對明訊的預期低,導致明訊去年僅起11%,落後數碼網絡與馬電訊,即使明訊沒有特別股息,明訊6%的週息率依然是領域最高。” 此外,明訊的市佔率達40%,也是領域之最,無疑是數據與智能手機使用率走高的主要受惠者。

明訊的高速寬頻計劃(HSBB)家庭服務,也有望帶來業務上探驚喜。該公司放眼今年高速寬頻計劃的用戶達2萬5千至3萬人,若願望實現勢必對營運盈利有利,而在ASTRO公司的網絡公司(IPTV)支撐下,明訊還可能因此重估。該行基於每用戶平均額走強,上調明訊2012至2013財政年淨利預測1至4%,到22.2億至23.4億令吉。

黃氏唯高達也看好馬電訊,主要是固定寬頻需求走高下Unifi的用戶有望上升,加上特別股息或帶動全年股息達27.5仙或週息率達5.5%。“該股僅以2012年企業價值收益比7倍交易,比較明訊與數碼網絡達10倍,估值頗具吸引力。”(星洲日報/財經)

Wednesday, February 01, 2012
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